Why Digital Twins Matter (Do They?)

Rachel Franklin (@rsfrankl)

Center for Geographic Analysis (CGA), Harvard University

2025-05-23

1 What we talk about when we talk about digital twins

  • Need: They fill a gap!

  • Physical Foundations: They foreground the physical components of cities (like transport networks and the built and natural environments)

  • Efficiency: Yay efficiency!

  • Scenarios: They open the door to richer what-if scenario testing.

  • Uncertainty: They can help reinforce the importance of model uncertainty

  • Appeal: It’s rare a modelling framework or paradigm attaches itself so firmly and so widely to such a variety of domains (public, private, academic) and areas (infrastructure, land use, transport). This is not to be discounted lightly.

2 What keeps me up at night

Just kidding

No but really

  • Lack of demographic, economic, and social process: They ‘rarely include any of the processes that determine how the city works in terms of its social and economic functions’ (Batty, 2018).

  • Society at Scale: What does a social DT look like? How can individuals, communities, and policies be captured and presented in a DT?

  • Mutability: When urban physical systems change, the sources of that change are typically straightforward to identify. Humans are more difficult.

  • Scalability: Wicked societal problems are wicked because they are complex and big

  • Time horizons: City DTs and other DTs work at a time scale consisting of minutes, days, and months, using real-time data to fine-tune immediate responses. This is not the time scale of wicked urban and social problems

  • Technocracy: The greatest risk that DTs pose may be precisely what makes them so popular: the promise that they are a panacea for a range of challenges that other approaches – and policy and investment – have failed to resolve.

3 Promise and potential

  • Data, compute, and real time aren’t going anywhere

  • Reckoning with data (access, bias, privacy) also isn’t going anywhere

  • Rallying points are valuable (this is kind of a big deal)

  • Digital Twins try to respond to a clearly identified need/gap (also a big deal)